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SOR=Saving Our Republic-Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, John Kasich-It’s up to you, New York, New York

April 6th, 2016 No comments

SoheylaKovach-member-LifeStyleFactoryHomesLLC-MHLivingNewsMHProNews-50x50Part of what made America uniquely great was applying a then radical notion at this nation’s founding. A republic is a land of laws! – vs. a place of privilege, power, money or men. A republic is a country where people are equal under the law, which the people help craft and enforce. The blindfolded Lady Justice symbolically means -justice doesn’t see color, religion, sex, money or social status. What Lady Justice sees are the facts of a case; those are symbolically “weighed in the scales” by a jury and judge, and ideally, those weighed realities are equally and fairly applied to all.

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Republic – Things of the People – Of We the People. Image credit – screen capture from – Google’s defintions.

Regardless if you are a fan of Democrats or not is irrelevant to the following point. 

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Lady Justice is blindedfolded so that she doesn’t play favorites. The scales are supposed to weigh the truth of a matter, and judge according to the facts and fairness, as determined by a jury of the accused peer’s and a judge to preside. Lady Justice – credit – LifeOfTheLaw.org.

If former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is allowed to:

  • wink at national security and related laws, erase records and then lie about it,
  • or if President Obama can act as emperor and issue edicts that go around the Congress or courts, 
  • or if illegal immigration gets those illegal migrants the same rights as legal immigrants or natural born citizens do, 

then the grand vision of the just Republic we Americans pledge allegiance to would tragically be over.

And if the American Republic is allowed to die?  

Then only power, money and connections will rule the land. 

That’s what’s wrong now, and the above isn’t meant to limit the abuse to one party; both major parties have had members who’ve abused power and the system. Combine that problem with an all-too-often slanted – or ignorant? – MSM, and what you have are key elements of what’s harming our MH Industry, the millions we serve and 310 million others in the U.S.A..

Today, we have tens of millions of frustrated voters and citizens. We are at a historic tipping point. Liberty, Prosperity and Peace are all at stake in 2016. If the powers-that-be somehow cheat “We, the People” in this upcoming election, then at some stage, violence will regrettably erupt. 

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Hillary Clinton – l -Rafael ‘Ted’ Cruz – John Kasich – Bernie Sanders – Donald J. Trump – photo credit, CNN. Original article by Soheyla Kovach on this topic, linked here.

Freedom’s Safest Place…

Knowing that to be true, some in the government want to take away or marginalize the Second Amendment. Ironically, it’s clear from Chicago, Brussels or other cities that having tough gun control – disarming honest people – helps criminals and terrorists, while harming innocent citizens.  

The rich have their body guards, right? Don’t “We, The People” in a Republic, deserve the same right to protect ourselves?

The Founders of this grand nation answered that question YES, through the Second Amendment.

What Bill Clinton and Bernie Sanders Said…

While on the stump for his wife, Bill Clinton said in fairly open code recently what a disaster President Obama has been for the nation in domestic and foreign policy. The irony, of course, is that Bill’s comments could be seen as applying to anyone – such as Hillary – who publicly supported – then and now – President Obama’s policies.

Bernie Sanders understandably blasted Hillary Clinton for her;

  • many policy failures,
  • millions in super-PAC money she’s been given and
  • bad votes in the Senate.

Are the gloves coming off on the Democratic side of this presidential race?

The irony is that the Democratic positions today hardly resembles the thinking of the Democratic John F. Kennedy Administration of yesteryear. Be it policies Democrats or Republicans passed or funded, harmful positions noted below are reasons why blue collar Democrats and Independents are among the millions who have or would vote for Donald Trump. 

Mr. Trump wants to end:

  • high taxes and regulatory overreach,
  • end horrible, job killing trade deals which sucks higher-paying manufacturing and other jobs overseas,
  • bring back trillions of dollars kept offshore,
  • create millions of good, new jobs by protecting and growing U.S. Industry,
  • wants to temporarly halt immigration from lands where Muslim Jihadis may come from (a common-sense move, since terror attacks in Europe are linked to such unvetted immigrants),
  • wants the U.S. borders enforced, and
  • wants immigration and other laws to apply. Note this last point, in relation to this column’s opening! The Rule of Law! It’s those later points why the border agents, Arizon’s Sheriff Joe Arpaio and others stong on border control endorse Donald Trump.

Applying those bullet points (no Second Amendment pun intended) would naturally cause wages for working citizens and those here legally in the USA to rise. Why? Because the law of supply and demand would work for blue collar, working class and all other people legally in the U.S.. 

Short-sighted chamber types who wish there were no such thing as E-Verify should note that naturally rising wages means more buying power, and that motivating people yields good employees.

In the mid-to-long run, all Americans win, as once happened when the industrial and agrarian revolutions slowly moved America into a modern age that raised the standard of living for this nation’s people.

More jobs and more revenue would,

  • boost American business,
  • increase tax revenues flowing into the revenue department,
  • while unemployment and other social service/entitlement costs to government would drop as jobs and wages both grow, all naturally.

Economic growth could reduce the debt and improve our national infrastructure, which again would fuel more growth and opportunities.

Reversing corporate inversions, bringing back trillions of dollars parked overseas as Donald Trump has discussed, all of these are reasons to embrace this movement that seeks to reverse decades of failed policies passed or allowed to exist by the 2 major parties.

A Production and a Service Nation

We learned that the so-called service economy can be a mirage; a dead end. Service jobs that used to be done by Americans, like phone room or online computer tech support work, are now done offshore too.

With workforce participation at a multi-decades low, and 96 million Americans not in the official labor force, that’s a klaxon that only Donald Trump is routinely sounding the alarm on. 

The U.S.A. and its people must become producers again. We must protect our own people first, and without apology! Production and a good economy are needed for a strong military, which can defend us against any who mean Americans harm. 

Bumper Sticker Slogans vs. Prudent Policies

Part of the genius of the Trump Campaign to this stage of the primaries have been to energize people around common-sense concepts that resonate and fire them up. In a Twitterverse of bumper stickers and media sound bites, you better have shorthand that cuts to the chase! 

But you also can’t ignore those who want and need more details.  To win an election, ideally, you need both elements.

That’s the balance that Mr. Trump must seek;

  • lots of his proven rallies, with throngs of enthusiastic people, and
  • once or twice weekly policy speeches with TelePrompTers like he used at AIPAC, to allow him to give the policy meat-and-potatoes that will make him ‘presidential’ to others, and thus quiet the opposition trying to derail him now.

That one-two Populist-Presidential combo along with a growing number of sharp, intelligent and well spoken ‘faces’ from his campaign on TV – would send his approvals up, disapproval down and allow him to finish the race as a winner; so together we can Make America Great Again.  

Doubters should keep in mind that at about this time in his successful campaign, Ronald Reagan began a 35 point upswing in his favorability.  This is doable!

Neo-Cons vs. Common Sense Conservatism

There is a difference between so-called neo-cons, and the common-sense, America First policies Mr. Trump promotes. 

Senator Ted Cruz attacks Mr. Trump about his giving money to candidates in both parties. The Donald didn’t hide that fact; rather, he raised the topic himself and explained it’s the way the system works today. Knowing the game allows Mr. Trump to fix the problems that Cruz and other politicians in both parties thrive upon.

Campaign Contributions 

FYI, if you’re in business or know business people, odds are good you know they often do the same as Mr. Trump. Democratic business professionals we know give to Rs as well as Ds. Republican business people give to Ds as well as Rs. They give to each party’s candidates, for the reasons Mr. Trump explained. That’s the way things are now and have been operating for decades. You have to pay and play the game in order to get along and get things done for your business.

Cruz plays the DC and political game too, only differently. Cruz hopes pointing fingers at a rival will keep people from noticing his own deep establishment ties, his changing positions, related posturing and role-playing. 

It will take a Trump to bump: 

  • the current, flawed DC crony capitalism, 
  • stupid trade deals, or 
  • poor foreign and domestic policy stances to the curb, 

so the current mess can fall into the gutter where it all belongs. 

New York, right now, it’s up to You!

I said in my first column about the 2016 presidential election the reasons why either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders would be a disaster for America. In that article, written from my perspective as a European-educated Iranian woman turned American, I outlined 12 specifics why Donald Trump was the best choice, noting that I’d vote for any of the three remaining Republicans rather than see Hillary or Bernie win. 

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FYI, The Gateway Pundit  thoughtfully cited the first article at length, which contributed to over 2000 websites picking it up in a matter of days (thank you, Jim Hoft! :-).

Many asked me to write again, so I’m hereby answering those requests by spotlighting election issues that thinking people who love America and want us to be safer and greater again should consider and share.

The 3 Interesting Things to Know about Senator Ted Cruz:

1) Rafael “Ted” Cruz’s father fought with Castro before leaving Cuba; it was the elder Cruz’s sister that fought against the Communist regime there.  

2) Mr. Cruz placed second in the 2012 Texas Republican primary for that state’s second senate seat, behind then-Lt. Governor David Dewhurst. It was low voter turnout that helped Cruz get to a runoff, and low voter turnout that allowed him to beat Dewhurst in the runoff election. Would Cruz have won his senate seat in a state other than a red one like Texas?  Does anyone see a similarity to Cruz running second to Donald Trump, and hoping to outmaneuver his rival for delegates which the junior Texas Senator often couldn’t win when there where high pro-Trump voter turnouts? 

3) Ted’s wife Heidi’s ties to Goldman Sachs makes the junior senator from Texas anything but an outsider. He’s a debate champion, and a former prosecutor. Both facts means he knows how to rehearse lines, and deliver them well. But he’s clearly a game player, who postures at taking the high-road – first against Marco Rubio, and now against Donald Trump – all the while misrepresenting some of his opponents positions and avoiding admitting some of his own flip-flops on issues.  This is why Governor Kasich and Donald Trump have referred to him as “Lyin’ Ted Cruz.” 

Why Republicans lost in 2012, and in 2008

Republicans elites essentially picked John McCain in 2008, and Mitt Romney in 2012. My husband, son and I all went to see each of the three Republican candidates in person in 2012 in Illinois, and saw Governor Chris Christie stand-in for Mitt Romney at another Chicagoland campaign event.  Among those candidates, Governor Romney had by far the lowest turnout. We saw first-hand that Romney had the least enthusiastic crowds compared to: 

  • his surrogate Christie, 
  • or former House Speaker, Newt Gingrich,
  • or former Senator Rick Santorum.

How did the RINO-Romney win the nomination? Lots more money, the larger party apparatus and organization.

The Reality of the Vote

While millions cast a thoughtful ballot, millions of others cast one based upon fleeting impressions; and that later group’s votes count the same as anyone else’s. 

Fast-forward to the present. No one could have been more surprised to see Marco Rubio turn on a dime, and become an attack dog for the “Stop Trump” movement. It no doubt helped cause Senator Rubio a big loss in his home state.

The path for a Trump victory electorally before the Republican Party’s convention has narrowed. New York could make the difference. 

A vote for Kasich or Cruz in New York might as well be a vote for a Democrat. Donald Trump alone can put states like New York, New Jersey and other deep blue states into play come November.

Old Blue Eyes and the Donald

My husband and I met at a Frank Sinatra night event. Imagine hearing Old Blue Eyes singing, “It’s up to you, New York, New York.”

Voters in New York ought to rally around Donald Trump, and give him over 50% of the total votes in each congressional district. It would be wise for him to keep his daughter Ivanka and his wife Melania out on the campaign trail with him. He should heed the advice of friendlies, his family and pros like Newt Gingrich, who suggest Mr. Trump needs that weekly dose of presidential speaking now, while keeping up the rallies and doing the organizing needed to be prepared for the next legs of the campaign. 

This is the Time To Unite

Radio talk show host Mark Levin is no Donald Trump fan, but he recently remarked that come the general election, if Trump wins, the conservative movement must rally behind him.  The altnerative is for Hillary or Bernie to get to pick the next few Supreme Court Justices. That would be tragic, and is avoidable.

Quotes.net cites a statement that Donald Trump made after his Super Tuesday victories on March 2nd. 

I am a unifier – I know people are going to find that a little bit hard to believe, but believe me, I am a unifier, we’re going to be more inclusive,
I think we’re going to be more unified, and I think we’re going to be much bigger party and I think we’re going to win in November.

Falling in Love

When you study to become an American citizen, you want to go deeper than some of the politically correct, but historically-twisted academics who hold negative views of American history akin to what President Obama-does, as Dinesh D’Souza documented in his books and movies.

Indeed everyone who loves America ought to fall in love with this amazing nation’s history. Not because it’s perfect, but because America continued to advance the cause of political, religious and economic freedom that made this land Ronald Reagan’s“…shining city on a hill.”

Unity, Strength and Peace

Abraham Lincoln kept America together. Donald Trump correctly cited Lincoln as one of America’s greatest presidents. It regrettably took a war to hold the states united. Had Lincoln failed, the states could have faced what Europe did for over another century. Namely, off-and-on, hot-or-cold wars between nations, often about the size of America’s states. 

Unity is impotant.  Donald Trump is also right to talk about peace through strength.

People tend to follow the stronger and more charismatic leader, not the weak one. Neville Chamberlain’s weakness lead to the Second World War. Three of Barack Obama’s own former Secretaries of Defense have sounded the alarm about the risks caused by POTUS’ policies. To a history enthusiast, it’s no surprise that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton’s weakness overseas lead to more conflicts and loss of life in the Middle East, in Africa, Europe and here in the U.S.A. too.  

A House Divided Will not Stand 

In a reference to the Bible, Abraham Lincoln famously warned, “A house divided against itself cannot stand.” Republicans have to unite, and they need to unite with those Democrats and Independents who see the good that the Trump Train Movement could bring to America.

More than one pundit has opined that there would be a strong case for having Trump and Cruz join forces, and have cabinet positions for others who have run in this race. Perhaps including centrist Democrats, like Jim Webb, in such a unity plan would add to its appeal. Some have said Mr. Trump may release a list of possible Supreme Court nominees, and deal with the other questions that his opponents are trying to make hay over.

While that might be like a political dream team to some, the reality is that it is unlikely to happen unless the Establishment types – and those still in the race like Cruz and Kasich – are soundly beaten in New York.  Without a big NY victory, the ‘walk away power’ needed for an Art of the Deal move by Trump is lacking.

Mr. Trump needs to win the nomination outright. If it becomes clear he can, then Cruz, Kasich or others could well coalesce around him, and unite into a powerful force that will win in November.  Furthermore, it would have the expertise to move legislation in Congress in 2017, and reform federal agencies too.  A vote for Kasich or Cruz might as well be a vote for the status quo, or like casting a ballot for Hillary or Bernie.

So if you are in New York, please consider voting for Mr. Trump. If you have friends in New York, send the link of this column to them.

Unity is like dancing, it takes two. We need to have a movement that will truly work to restore the restraints of the Constitution on the federal government. Each piece of the puzzle is needed to make a picture come into focus.

If we each do our part, we can SOR – Save Our Republic.

Right now, its looking like New York could be a great opportunity. It’s Up To You, New York, New York! ##

SoheylaKovach-member-LifeStyleFactoryHomesLLC-MHLivingNewsMHProNews-50x50

Soheyla Kovach is a member of Lifestyle Factory Homes, LLC – the parent firm to MHLivingNews.com and MHProNews.com.

Editor’s Note: 1  The original OpEd Soheyla wrote is the runaway hottest topic on the website – and thus the entire MH industry – with more ‘hit’s on this column as the next 50 articles combined.  Soheyla’s original column is linked here or below:

12 Reasons an Educated, Professional Iranian-American Woman Supports Donald Trump

Editor’s Note 2:  
Other thoughtful commentary of optional length on the election or other issues of industry interest are welcomed. As with any OpEd, the views expressed are solely those of the writer, and should not be construed as representing the views of any sponsor, person, other MH Industry group or organization.

Editor’s Updates. 4.10.2016. Not long after Soheyla’s OpEd was published, two noteworthy items have taken place.

1) Mark Levin reversed his statement from the previous day, cited by Soheyla above. What made him do so?  Will he switch again if faced with Hillary or Bernie becoming president?

2) The Boston Globe did a rarely used phony front page to attack Donald Trump, drew it’s related editorial to a conclusion by urging Republicans to derail Ted Cruz too, and suggested Paul Ryan or Mitt Romney in their place. Where is the Boston Globe’s hue and cry over the Democratic front runner being investigated by the FBI? That phony Boston Globe front page is linked here as a download,

3) The rise of alternative media, such as the DrudgeReport (which this editor follows daily, and recommends to others) signaled via Matt Drudge’s tweet on Saturday the phony front page to come.

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Front page of Saturday’s Drudge Report, image credit, Drudge Report.

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This satirical front page was a response to the fake headlines front page the Boston Globe created. Image credit, ThePeoplesCube.com.

These incidents underscores the point that the opposition to Trump is amazingly high, but harkens back to the stiff opposition that Ronald Reagan faced from inside and outside of his party in 1980.  Reagan overcame high media opposition and Establishment Democrats and Republicans, reversed his unfavorablity in polls by about 35 points, as Soheyla noted above.  How stiff is the opposition to Mr. Trump?  Monday morning’s Drudge headlines speaks volumes.

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DrugeReport top headlines 4.11.2016, image credit is a screen capture of the DrudgeReport, and these are presented here under Fair Use guidelines.

The Emperor has no Clothes

August 21st, 2011 13 comments

There is a lot to say about what has gone wrong with our country and our Industry.  We will begin ‘at the top,’ with our Chief Executive, President Barack Obama.

What’s up with Obama’s recent bus tour?

I’m no fan of the prior president, but say what you will about President W, when he took a similar bus trip to President Obama’s, W used campaign dollars to pay for it.  Where is the “watchdog” media? Why no hue and cry when the administration buys millions of dollars of Canadian buses so President BO can tour in style on the taxpayer’s dime?

What’s up with all that?

Isn’t it ironic that BO tours campaign style after lecturing millionaires and billionaires about private jets and corporate perks?  Or is that rhetoric just a way of getting the votes of middle America and ‘the little people?’

Do you like ‘divide and conquer politics?  To me, it is plain wrong.  Talk about issues, talk records or about facts.  But don’t pit one group against another.

I need to be clear that W vacationed considerably more than BO.  But W went to his ranch or Camp David, etc.  But to add irony to injury, on the heels of all this bad economic news, BO is in Martha’s Vineyard – the haven of the elite – now?

Even left wing commentators see this vacation in the New England playground of the rich and famous as a problem.

  • Experts and government statistics suggest we have 17% unemployed and under-employed.
  • We have more people on food-stamps and welfare than at any time in U.S. history.
  • And BO will give us his ‘next’ jobs program in September, after his resort vacation?
  • Where are all those shovel ready and other jobs from the ‘first’ one?  Or were all the jobs ‘created’ at the job killing CFPB?

They say the emperor has no clothes.  Well, we have no emperor, but a president and his wardrobe looks just fine.

Ascendancy and Dependency

It is the party of dependency that is still in ascendency.

Or at least still in high office…

…dependency is a major voting block today.

Be it government labor unions, federal jobs or those on government assistance, it is an issue.  We have to put people to work, not get them used to no work. We do need federal and other government jobs.  But we can’t give everyone a job regulating someone who is working to produce a product or a service that keeps America’s wheels turning.

If we do not change our ways federally and locally, we will look like rioting old England some day, because we can’t afford to keep adding to our debt and taking on more programs that fail to foster independence.

While we have plenty of dependency programs, meanwhile, we have

  • flash mobs that form, rob, harass and harm others in our cities.
  • We have automatic weapons fire along our southern border.
  • We have three wars we are involved in instead of the previous two.

I didn’t favor W taking us into Iraq, nor do I favor BO taking us into Libya.  Even if we ‘win,’ what have we won in either case?  We spill American blood and treasure, for what?  We can’t be the world’s cop, and we can’t have wars for the sake of foreign oil, etc.

Let’s drill and do energy on U.S. soil and off U.S. shores, as safely and prudently as possible.  Think about the major jobs creation potential.

Private enterprise can pay for it all without federal dollars.  Let business people do business in America again.

Another Recession, whats up with that?

The media speaks of double dip recession.  What’s up with that phrase?

Did anyone notice that the ‘great recession’ never ended?  Did you notice that the housing markets still suffer, and Keynesian/Euro socialist economics just added trillions to our debt without giving us a stronger economy?

No jobs.  No stimulated business.  Tougher lending.  Very little respect overseas.  Where is the change we can believe in?  Or was that supposed to mean the pocket change we have left after taxes?

Third part candidate George Wallace once said there wasn’t a dime’s worth of difference between the two major parties. Thus Wallace favored what some have for years, a third party to bring America back. But Ronald Reagan had it closer, we don’t need a third party, but a rejuvenated second party.

That means we don’t need Rino Republicans, Republicans In Name Only.  To me, W was a Rino, socially conservative, but nearly as much a man about big government as BO is.  W helped give us that darn bail out of the bankers.  W took us into two wars with no end in sight.  W’s dad may not have “finished the job” in the first Gulf War, but he had the smarts to get in and get out.

We need business friendly independents, Democrats and Republicans.

Businesses create jobs.  Jobs are what American’s need, and then they can start buying houses again!

Speaking of jobs, how about creating 20 million new ones?

I’ve read the same reports you have; that there are two trillion dollars of investment money on the sidelines – actually overseas – that could be brought back to the U.S. In short order.

But that 2 trillion fled America due to regulations and tax policies.  Do we have the political will to bring those trillions back?

Think about what Two Trillion Dollars we don’t have to borrow, or write down, would mean to our country right now.  If every $100,000 invested created only 1 American job, that would mean 20,000,000 jobs.

Think: 20 million people off aid, off food stamps, off unemployment or other government programs.  2o million more taxpayers.  Think 20 million people less dependent, means we would be that much closer to a balanced budget!

We better find and support candidates in whatever party who know how the free enterprise system works, because creating jobs by supporting business is what we should be about.

Free Enterprise, not Keynesian/Euro socialist economics, is what made America the land of the free and the home of the brave.

November 2012 is shaping up now.  Who we support now for our state houses, or for Congress, the Senate and the White House will be on the ballot 15 months from now.

Personally, I’ve contacted my senators and representative and made my feelings known on economic and social issues.  But I will also make them known on the path to election 2012.

Give the man his props

One thing that our recently bus touring and now vacationing BO has done is give us an executive order we can believe in.  With all due respect to Marty Lavin, Danny Ghorbani was the first to bring it to our Industry’s attention.  We speak of Executive Order (EO) #13563, similar to President Clinton’s issued in 1993.

MHMSM.com posted EO #13563 months ago, that requires an examination of regulatory impact and its benefits.

MHARR is right.  HUD’s budget has grown, while our industry shipments have shrunk.  What’s up with that fact?

What the president – at least on paper –  has done is give us EO#13563 which could hold HUD and other regulators accountable.  Now will our national associations use that to our Industry’s benefit?

The Fall Congressional hearing on Manufactured Housing

Ooops.

Who do we have in DC “helping us” in the planned fall Congressional hearings on our Industry?  Congressman Barney Frank.  What’s up with that?

Let’s see.  Barney helped give us the SAFE Act.  Barney also gave us part of the name of the bill that in his: Dodd-Frank.

So do you feel safer or dodd-franked?

With friends like Barney, does our industry need any federal enemies?

Who is watching how our industry PAC money is spent?  Is this the type of anti-business candidate we need to support?

Where is that change we can believe in?  Or did I drop that change the last time I filed my quarterlies?

One of the best meeting planners around, but…

I asked Tony Kovach why George Allen’s Roundtable was not on the MHMSM.com calendar.  “George isn’t an association, and he opted not to pay for an ad.”

Maybe there is considerable momentum from last year’s event that MHMSM.com did promote.  I noticed that Allen is reporting more state association executives coming to the Roundtable this year.  State execs are often ‘comped’ for coming to an event.  George is one of the best self-promoters the Industry has seen in the past 2 decades.  I’d want state execs helping me promote an event of mine too.  Nothing wrong with it, a common practice.

In the manufactured home communities world, Allen’s Roundtables are unmatched.  Allen gets some fine speakers and topics in.  They are informative and enjoyable.

However, I can’t always agree with George Allen’s commentary, live or in his columns here or in his own publications.  Let’s parse some of his recent ones for a few moments.

I understand and agree with George that MHI doesn’t seem to have a plan for our Industry’s recovery.  What’s up with that fact?  I can see why the natives are restless in the NCC, even with Lisa B getting appointed.

George is spot on that MHI is failing to do half of what an association is called to do – protect and promote.

  • Where is the Industry promotion?
  • How has MHI worked to reverse the Industry’s downward new home shipment trend?  Marty was spot on regarding that topic, in his recent column.

But George’s bashing of Danny and MHARR misses the mark.  Why?

Because MHARR is an association for independent Manufacturers. MHARR don’t get paid to represent communities or lenders or suppliers.  MHARR doesn’t represent retailers,  which if you ask retailers like Doug Gorman or Dick Moore, MHI doesn’t seem to do such a hot job for them either.

George, the point is that MHARR can’t be faulted for focusing on what its members pay MHARR to do, namely, work on regulatory issues.  So George, if you want to fault Danny, fault him for something that group is paid to do.  At least MHARR has stated publicly they support the ‘post production’ sector (MHARR code words for MHI) in their efforts to modify Dodd-Frank, SAFE, etc.  I’ve not seen any similar effort from MHI back towards MHARR.  If it exists, it is behind the scenes.

I also agree with Marty Lavin that we better watch more what people say than what people do.  We better watch results, because words alone can be cheap.

Or words can costly, depending on how you look at it.

Industry Marketing and Image Campaign

Speaking of MHI and the Industry image campaign…

…I’ve seen the plan Tony, IMHA’s Mark Bowersox and others have put together.  In a word, brilliant.

In my mind, they need to consider a different name, but for now they are calling it the Manufactured Housing Alliance and Phoenix Plan.  Their plan navigates the key political issues that our industry has faced that has kept us from moving ahead.

We keep reading from MHI the statistics about our dropping new home shipments.   This gets back to the dual role that an association is supposed to have, protect and promote.

Where is MHI on this MH Alliance/Phoenix Plan effort to turn around our image, marketing and sales results?

Silent.

By contrast. I see John Bostick’s name on the page in favor of the MH Alliance/Phoenix Plan.  That makes me want to order some Sunshine Homes and get others to do the same!

Good for MHARR’s Chairman, who did not endorse it on MHARR’s behalf, but Mr. Bostick has obviously taken the time and had the guts to publicly say, hey, this can work.

Which leads to the questions:

> Where are the MHARR members or Danny on this plan?

> Where is MHI on this plan?

Marty Lavin on Danny Ghorbani

I’m the first to agree with Marty that Danny needs to polish up those lobbying skills.  In fact, let me take Marty’s points a step farther.  As I personally see it, and others may disagree, Danny has three options:

  1. change your ways, permanently and rapidly, to become more effective at what you do for MHARR,
  2. retire and consult for MHARR as needed;
  3. or just retire.

Danny, retire? What would happen to MHARR without Danny?  What’s up with that idea?  Can you even say MHARR without saying Danny G’s name?

Yes, you can.

Attorney and MHARR VP Mark Weiss is a good man.  Mark knows the law, can be reasoned with and Danny has prepared him to take the helm at MHARR, when the time comes that Danny decides to retire or when MHARR members make that decision.

For example, MHARR could bring in a new associate, give Danny a nice gold watch, and a one year transitional consulting agreement.  The independent factories that support MHARR can save money.  As or more important, they likely can get more done and advance their cause in DC with HUD, Congress and other regulators.

The timing is right for a change at MHARR.  Danny, don’t take it the wrong way, you are a smart guy and know the HUD Code as well as anyone in the manufacturing side of the Industry.  But in my personal opinion, it is time to change your ways for the better or you better retire.

The best suits and fine meetings

Danny has some of the best suits in DC that our Industry can brag about.  Danny and MHARR are spot on with some key issues.  But you can be right, and still do things in a way that turns people off.

But give the man his props, Danny is right about MHI meeting,

after meeting,

after meeting and

…where is the MHI plan?

But then, Danny – if you stay – you and MHARR should then walk the walk and have an action plan of your own. Not a some day, or five year plan, a let’s get it done now plan.

Perhaps John Bostick’s public move supporting the MH Alliance/Phoenix Plan will inspire others of stature to make their own public statements or just help launch the program.

But at some point, we need to get past meetings, and get to doing.  46,000 shipments.  We are now down about 88% from our post HUD-Code high in 1998.  How much lower can we go and still have an Industry?

  • We can’t fill empty home sites with only used product.
  • We need new homes bought from factories and sold to consumers.
  • We need retailers and community operators who attract customers with good credit, and then close them and turn them into happy homeowners who will tell their friends and once again let our Industry grow.

The Numbers on MAP

I like abbreviations. Let’s call this plan of Mark’s and Tony’s MAP for short, because this MH Alliance Phoenix can be our road MAP to the future. Maybe we can get Tony and Mark to come up with a better name.  But in the mean time, MAP it is for me.

I asked Tony to give me a projection on what he thinks MAP can do.  His answer?  First year from the launch date could double shipments without a need for hurricane season (no need for FEMA orders).

The next year could double it again.  That would be roughly 92,000 shipments in year 1. Then 184,000 shipments in year two.

Take a look at the MAP if you haven’t already.  If you have a better plan, why not share it?  But if not, get behind the plan that is out there being discussed.

I’m told that MAP can be up and running in short order.  We can do MAP, with no waiting for federal or state action!

Doing the Math, my Math not Ts

Tony has his math, I have mine.

Let’s say MAP was launched, and then MAP raised shipments back to 75,000 the first year.  Let’s further say, 1/2 of the increase went into communities.

  • That would mean 14,500 spaces filled.  At say $275 average a month per site, that would mean $47,850,000 more to MHCs a year.  Plus the profits off the home sales.
  • 29,000 additional new shipments would mean 29,000 new jobs.
  • It would mean security for those whose jobs or businesses are at risk due to declining shipments.How many MH plants would stay open?
  • At even a low $50,000 average per home, that 1.45 billion in new sales.  Think about the boost in revenue to retailers and developers.

Would you give $75 per location to boost sales $1.45 Billion and create about $48 million in new communities revenues?

If not, please go back to 5th grade math.  To me, this spells a good deal.

Let me stress, these are my numbers, not T’s or Mark’s.  But it tells me why they and others are working to see this plan happen.

Chattel Lenders

I’m not without experience in dealing with personal property lending.  While he wasn’t talking about just lending, I agree with Chad Carr’s recently published statement about MAP.  The MH Alliance/Phoenix Plan is the only plan I’ve seen that gets to the heart of fixing chattel lending for our Industry.  MAP provides solutions for image, lobbying and other practical issues too. It dares to be bold, without trying to step on any industry group’s toes.

If your chattel lender has not yet seen this, she or he better do so!  This can help us cut our repos losses dramatically.

It will help our customers – manufactured home owners – dramatically too.  That will in turn attract more customers, and more credit worthy ones.

Manufactured housing lenders need to see our losses cut.  Because that panel of lenders at the MHI Congress last April were correct.  A repo can cost 50% (or more) of the loan balance.   There are so many dark clouds that hang over personal property lending for manufactured housing right now, we have to have solutions if our Industry will ever advance.

In fact, our survival depends on it.

I asked Tony specifically about people who have and have not seen MAP.  T won’t comment about those who haven’t shared a public statement. I can respect that, but it does leave us guessing.

So someone needs to ask Marty Lavin or Dick Ernst where they are on this.  Have they seen it?  What is there take?  It is obvious that Ken Rishel has come out for it, big time, in his own newsletter and on MHMSM.com too.

Come to think of it, where is George Allen’s name on this subject?  Didn’t he say a few months ago, we needed an image campaign?  What’s up with that?

We could go through a list of industry leaders and say, what about you?  Where are you on this MAP subject?

If you are for it, why not say so publicly? If you oppose it, why and then propose your own alternative!  Mark, Tony and those working on this want to see consensus. I appreciate that, but I’d add that we can’t afford to debate stuff forever.  We need to move ahead, and pronto.

If we do not start advancing, more factories, more retailers and more communities will fail.  It is simply 5th grade math.

State and Communities Association leaders

Given that a pair of state association leaders have already publicly stated support for the MH Alliance and Phoenix plan, it is reasonable to think others have seen it too.  We need to watch and encourage this plan at the state level.

Because let’s be honest, the states are where it is at.  All politics are local, and your business happens at the state and local level.

Last year, we saw some state execs who took a leadership role to get things happening at the federal level.  We need to see that again, and we need to see that on MAP or their best alternative to it.

A pimple on an elephant’s bottom

We’ve heard this expression at meetings and coffee tables.  I admit it sadly fits the influence our Industry has politically in DC today.  We need to be working tea parties to get the party of jobs, business and growth moving ahead. We need to hold the feet of those who say they will change DC for the better to the fire, and get the gold of jobs and rising housing back to work building the U.S.A.

We have lost our nation’s AAA credit rating.  Debt piles up, what do we have to show for it?  Where are the jobs?  The lending?  The recovery?  What did we bail out anyway?  Who benefited from all that taxpayer funded largess?

We saw some amazing upsets at the midterms, and I think we can see more if we plan now for the best candidates and then mobilize for the general elections.

It is frankly another good reason to learn and get behind the MAP.  We will increase our influence at the state house and in Washington when our consumers are visibly supporting us in sizable numbers.

Let’s work and earn the support of our communities’ residents and home owners/customers!  Then we should make sure we continue to deserve it.  Without happy customers, we are as doomed as if HUD bureaucrats or others would just shut us down.

TANSTAFL

If I boiled this down, it would be this.  We can’t have something for nothing.  TANSTAFL = There is no such thing as a free lunch. Someone always pays.

We better work for truly positive change, or we will be left with pocket change.

We better look at and support a plan that can move us ahead.  I vote for the MH Alliance/Phoenix Plan.  Or we will suffer the fate of the buggy whip makers.

I shop at WalMart no more than I have to, because I believe in supporting the smaller and more independent business women and men out there.  They are more like me.  They want to serve me, and I in turn want to support them.

We better support the HUD Code builders, and they in turn, better support us too.

Talking and Doing.

Before we look at any other emperor who also lacks clothes, let’s close for now. Talk is fine, but let’s follow talk with do.

I want to thank those of you who have written.  Please do not think me rude, but for now…

…I hope you understand that some things need to be said that have gone unsaid too long.

More next time.##

post submitted by
Michael Barnabas

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