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New Manufactured Home Production, Shipment Data-February 2019

April 5th, 2019 Comments off

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Facts reflect reality. Businesses run on facts, not wishful thinking.  Companies thrive, lose value, or die based upon income, outgo, profits, losses, and their trend lines.

 

Starting 6 months ago, based upon tips from sources within the Manufactured Housing Institute (MHI), the Daily Business News on MHProNews began raising the alarm that the industry was about to face a downturn.

When MHI was asked about that concern, instead of acknowledging what sources insider their own organization were telling MHProNews, what did MHI officials do?  Duck the questions from MHProNews, and then they produced a video that claimed that the industry had ‘momentum.’  Seriously, that was their term, as the collage of stills from that MHI propaganda video below reflects.

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The more industry professionals and investors look at this now clearly outrageous set of claims by MHI make it appear that they were deceiving – or attempting to – many of their own members. 

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In hindsight, given that MHI has or could a good idea weeks before others do of what the shipment trends are, how can their claim be seen as anything other than a bold deception?

With that #NettlesomeThings tee up, let’s look at the Manufactured Housing Association for Regulatory Reform’s latest report, below, and follow it with some related insights and analysis.

 

 

HUD Code Manufactured Home Production Decline Continues

Washington, D.C., April 5, 2019 – The Manufactured Housing Association for Regulatory Reform (MHARR) reports that according to official statistics compiled on behalf of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), year-over-year HUD Code manufactured home production declined once again in February 2019. Just-released statistics indicate that HUD Code manufacturers produced 7,213 homes in February 2019, down 10.5%, from the 8,065 homes produced in February 2018. Cumulative industry production for 2019 now totals 14,769 homes, an 11.5% decline from the 16,701 HUD Code homes produced over the same period in 2018.

This production decline, which first emerged during the last quarter of 2018, reflects the cumulative impact of chronic problems affecting the industry’s post-production sector, which substantially and discriminatorily limit the market for HUD Code manufactured housing, thereby offsetting, to a significant degree, the inherent affordability advantage that manufactured homes have over other types of housing. Such negative effects – on both consumers of affordable housing and the industry as a whole – underscore the absolute and urgent necessity of effectively addressing such issues within the post-production sector, including, but not limited to, discriminatory zoning and placement restrictions (i.e., increasingly scarce new developments/communities and individual homeowner placement opportunities) and limitations on federal consumer financing support, and underscore the wisdom of the MHARR Board of Directors in targeting these matters for aggressive action.

 

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The Manufactured Housing Association for Regulatory Reform is a Washington, D.C.-based national trade association representing the views and interests of independent producers of federally-regulated manufactured housing.

— 30 –

 

There is a new Masthead analysis on this troubling topic, see that as the first of the related reports, linked below.

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That’s this morning’s report on manufactured home industry “News, Tips, and Views Pros Can Use,” © where “We Provide, You Decide.” © ## (News, analysis, and commentary.)

 

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Cui Bono? “Killing Me Softly,” Manufactured Housing’s New Theme Song?

 

 

 

 

 

12 Reasons to Oppose a New Manufactured Home Post Production Association

February 25th, 2019 Comments off

 

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There are more reasons than this one dozen to oppose the start of a new national post-production manufactured housing trade association.  But those noted are sufficient to get the ball rolling on the timely discussion ahead of the 2019 Tunica Manufactured Housing Show.

 

Some of these are subtle. So, be advised, and read them with care.

1) Manufactured housing shouldn’t get any bigger than it already is, at least, not anytime soon. The fact that the industry once produced over 550,000 new homes built two years in a row, or hit 372,000 plus new HUD Code manufactured homes in 1998, are not a reason enough for the Manufactured Housing Institute (MHI) to want to exceed 100,000 shipments in 2018, while RVs continue to outsell MH by some 5 to 1.

 

2) The Arlington, VA based MHI wants you to know that the manufactured housing industry has too many trade associations already. The fact that other housing sectors – and other numerous industries – have far more trade groups and associations than manufactured housing has is irrelevant to the fine folks in Arlington, VA.  Emotion – or if necessary, power – not logic, should rule.

 

3) Don’t worry about the fact that manufactured homes are increasingly being zoned out of areas that once allowed or embraced them.  Or that several states are witnessing declines in new manufactured home sales, even while an affordable housing crisis is growing. Far more important that ‘we should all speak with one voice in manufactured housing,’ says the MHI party line.  That one voice should come from those closely-aligned with metro Omaha-Knoxville-Arlington connected operations.

 

4) If there is any difference in viewpoints that deviates from any official position held by MHI or Knoxville-metro based Clayton Homes, those opposing manufactured housing (MH) viewpoints should shut up, get out of the industry, be forced to sell out there financial interests at a discounted valuation, or otherwise ought to be driven out-of-business.  See number 3 above; only 1 voice is needed in all of manufactured housing.

 

5) MH Pros and MH Investors only need one official source of news and information. Listening to anyone other than a pro-MHI or pro-Clayton voice is treasonous. For more, ask those who have publicly and privately called for boycotts of all non-conforming manufactured housing news, analysis, and information sources. See numbers 3 and 4 above.

 

6) Accuracy in information is overrated. MHI is correct often enough to please Omaha and Knoxville. That must be why MHI President Richard ‘Dick’ Jennison and his colleagues are getting annual bonuses.  See points 3, 4, and 5 above.

 

7) Style should trump substance, with the pun intended.

 

8) The Illusion of Motion and having a good time at an MHI event that earns the Arlington based trade group hundreds of thousands of dollars a year is smart for the powers that be, and all other viewpoints don’t matter.

 

9) Photos with leading political figures and MHI leaders ought to give confidence that all is well for MHVille.  Any other viewpoint, should see 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 above.

 

10) Ignore the fact that online videos that mock or are critical of manufactured housing, or that blast Clayton Homes, often get far more views than those videos produced by MHI that praise Omaha-Knoxville-Arlington leadership.  Don’t let facts like that bother you. See 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, and 9 above.

 

11) Pay no attention to the fact that Clayton’s Market Share of manufactured housing went from about 13 percent to some 50 percent in only some 15 years.  Don’t be concerned about what that trend-line might mean for your firm.  See 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, and 10 above.

 

12) Pay no attention to the fact that Warren Buffett himself says that he only wants to buy things that are a value, meaning, at a discounted price.  The fact that low sales volume in manufactured housing happens to play into that Warren Buffett moat strategy is merely a coincidence.  There is no there, there.  There is nothing to worry about.  If you doubt that, see 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10, and 11 above.

 

Want a bonus reason?

 

Let fear, habit, going-along-to-get-along, drinking, drugs, sex, threats, blackmail, extortion, or any other reasons motivate you to not want to rock-the-boat or change the status quo for the better.  See the related reports, below the byline and notices.  Facts don’t matter, if they contradict the views of your betters from the Omaha-Knoxville-Arlington axis.  If you don’t get it, look up the meaning of ‘satire.’

 

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Is that too subtle?

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MHProNews looks at the facts, considers the sources, and follows the evidence. MHI earlier last year, and for years before, MHI routinely replied promptly to all inquiries. But since we’ve spotlighted the problems and concerns, they’ve gone silent. Why? If the facts are on their side, why not make offer a cogent explanation?

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Part of several messages for publication by Tim Williams to MHProNews.

 

 

If you want to learn more about growing the industry instead of seeing it languish, and you or a colleague plan to be in Tunica during the 2019 trade show there in March, click here or the image below and send a message with “I plan to be at the Tunica Show” in the subject line.  You can share your thoughts in the body of your message.  Just say if your thoughts are on or off the record.

 

 

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To report a news tip, click the image above or send an email to iReportMHNewsTips@mhmsm.com – To help us spot your message in our volume of email, please put the words NEWS TIP in the subject line.

 

It takes many things to be successful in business. Experience, capital, confidence, and some guts too.  The meaning of various facts and trend lines can be twisted, or they can be taken at face value.  That’s your wake up call, in this edition of manufactured home industry “News, Tips, and Views Pros Can Use,” © where “We Provide, You Decide.” © ## (News, analysis, and commentary.)

 

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To report a news tip, click the image above or send an email to iReportMHNewsTips@mhmsm.com – To help us spot your message in our volume of email, please put the words NEWS TIP in the subject line.

NOTICE: You can get our ‘read-hot’ industry-leading emailed headline news updates, at this link here. You can join the scores who follow us on Twitter at this link. Connect on LinkedIn here.

NOTICE 2: Readers have periodically reported that they are getting a better experience when reading MHProNews on the Microsoft Edge, or Apple Safari browser than with Google’s Chrome browser. Chrome reportedly manipulates the content of a page more than the other two.

(Related Reports are further below. Third-party images and content are provided under fair use guidelines.)

1) To sign up in seconds for our MH Industry leading emailed news updates, click here.

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To see a sample of our emailed news update, click here. To sign up for the factory-built home industry’s #1 headline news, click here or the graphic above.

2) To pro-vide a News Tips and/or Commentary, click the link to the left. Please note if comments are on-or-off the record, thank you.

3) Marketing, Web, Video, Consulting, Recruiting and Training Re-sources

SoheylaKovachDailyBusinessNewsMHProNewsMHLivingNewsSubmitted by Soheyla Kovach to the Daily Business News for MHProNews.com. Soheyla is a managing member of LifeStyle Factory Homes, LLC, the parent company to MHProNews, and MHLivingNews.com.

 

 

 

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HUD Code Manufactured Home Production Decline Persists – Time For Action Not Excuses

 

“The Illusion of Motion Versus Real-World Challenges”

 

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Remember-Anything You, Richard ‘Dick’ Jennison, Kevin Clayton, Tim Williams, or Anyone Says Publicly at Louisville Show May Be Recorded by Audio, Video – Legal Details