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Posts Tagged ‘2018 Midterms’

Performer Taylor Swift, HUD Code Manufactured Homes, Manufactured Housing Institute (MHI) PAC Donations, and 2018 Midterms

October 10th, 2018 Comments off

 

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That featured photo above, posted on Instagram, is mega-star Taylor Swift next to an apparent HUD Code manufactured home.  Interesting.

 

In this past week, Swift came out against Representative Marsha Blackburn, (TN-R), favoring her Democratic opponent instead.

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Following a POTUS Trump Rally, Blackburn has surged, with now polling showing her ahead of Tennessee Democrat Phil Bredesen.  Blackburn was trailing Bredesen in early September.

The video discussion below tees up Swift’s statement.

 

Here is Swift’s tweet shot round-the-world.

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It is worth noting that Fox News reported 5 hours ago that the “politically charged” American Music Awards (AMA) ceremony – that featured Swift – plummeted 29 percent.

 

 

How Important Is the Swift Endorsement?

Certainly, political endorsements are coveted prizes by politicians, and have been for generations.

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That said, scores of Hollywood stars came out in 2016 to support former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D) in her Democratic run for the White House.  The world knows the result, Clinton won the popular vote because of heavy population states like New York and California, but lost the Electoral College vote to Donald J. Trump  – which actually decides the election – by a wide margin.

The Swift dip in the AMA rating may be a clue too.

That endorsements matter is clear from the fact that President of the United States Donald J. Trump has endorsed Blackburn. The Tennessee representative rose, and recent polls suggest she passed the Democratic contender’s prior lead.

What’s fascinating is that the Clayton’s are, per some mainstream media sources, supporting the Democrat, Phil Bredesen. See the screen capture, below.

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It’s October. 4 weeks to the election. Voters are tuning in.

 

The Manufactured Housing Institute (MHI) has previously had toe-in-the-water to modest support for Marsha Blackburn (TN-R).

 

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The seat begin vacated is Senator Bob Corker (TN-R), who was considered by Team Trump as a possible VP candidate, but the nod went to VP and now former Indiana Governor Mike Pence. Corker has periodically taken shots at POTUS #45, and President Trump has returned those favors.

President Trump, CBS News, A Vote For Marsha Blackburn is a Vote For Me – Tennessee Rally

 

Congresswoman Marsha Blackburn Speaks at Trump MAGA Rally in Johnson City, TN


This will be part one of a two-part report.  Watch for a surprising twist on this story.  “We Provide, You Decide.” © ## (News, analysis, and commentary.)

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Salena Zito Tweet Wakeup on Recent High Court Rulings, Touts the “Great Revolt,” SCOTUS Kennedy Shakeup

June 27th, 2018 Comments off

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For manufactured housing professionals who believe that the Trump Administration has been good for the industry, the following will be of interest.  For those in MHVille who believe that the 45th president and his GOP party has been a problem for the industry, this will be of equal interest.

 

If you do not think 5-4 #scotus decisions aren’t being scrutinized by conservative populist
voters, then you have not been paying attention to how Evangelicals & #2A voters view courts & politics
,” tweeted Washington Examiner writer Salena Zito, adding” That slim margin energizes them to come out 2018 and 2020. https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/564518/the-great-revolt-by-salena-zito-and-brad-todd/9781524763688/ …

That tweet was prior to the announcement of Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy saying today he will retire on July 31, 2018.

Justice Kennedy, is seen as a moderate, and was appointed to the Supreme Court by President Ronald Reagan in 1988, says Wikipedia.

Conservative Townhall notes Kennedy authored landmark rulings relating to gay rights, the death penalty and campaign finance.

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There has been periodic speculation for months that Kennedy would retire at the end of this term. He announced today he will step down on July 31st, 2018. President Trump thanked him for his service, and pledged to replace him from the same list that produced Justice Neil Gorsuch.

Zito’s tweet above is noteworthy, because if she is correct, the Kennedy decision could further energize the Trump base for 2018 and 2020.  Zito and her co-author did in depth research on the Trump voter, and what she discovered is reported in their book, “The Great Revolt.”

The Great Revolt” by Salena Zito and Brad Todd does much to tell the story of our great Election victory,” tweeted President of the United States (POTUS) Donald J. Trump on May 7, 2018, adding, “The Forgotten Men & Women are forgotten no longer!”

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Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS)

Senate Majority Leader, Mitch McConnell, reminded voters via Twitter that his decision not to allow then President Barack Obama’s pick, Neil Gorsuch to be seated on the U.S. high court, is considered to have been a motivating factor for the political right.

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President Trump, as well as Democrats and their strategists, have pointed to POTUS Trump’s SCOTUS appointee to Justice Gorsuch as a key figure in the recent 5-4 split votes that went this week the 45th president’s way.

Coupled with dozens of other judicial appointments, political strategists say that President Trump is shaping the high court as much as POTUS Obama did during his 8 years in office.

Expect both Democrats and Republicans to be energized by today’s announcement. Both sides will be fundraising off this.

If Zito is correct, and this motivates the conservative-centrist Trump base as much as it did in 2016, this could be a high turnout for the 2018 midterms.

That in turn could make a difference in how the next Congress will be poised for more regulatory, tax, immigration reforms plus other domestic policies are handled in the next Congress. Stay tuned, because this promises to be as wild a ride as 2016, which will have an impact on your manufactured home business and investments. “We Provide, You Decide.” © ## (News, analysis, and commentary.)

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Shifting Momentum, Demographics, Women, the 2018 Midterms, and Manufactured Housing

May 23rd, 2018 Comments off

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If one takes candidates at their word – which is never a given once they are elected  – it must be noted that candidates Secretary Hillary Clinton, and businessman, builder and media maven Donald J Trump each made a range of stated policy positions.

 

Last night, the House passed S. 2155, see that report linked below. The bill gives manufactured housing professionals some benefits and relief from Dodd-Frank.  It fulfills part of the 45th presidents pledge to undo what he said was the economic damage wrought by the CFPB and the Dodd-Frank regulatory regime.

 

That bill which has now been passed by the House and Senate would not have been signed had Ms. Clinton been the president, per her own statements.

By contrast, there is every expectation that President Donald J. Trump will sign the measure that provides relief for the industry on the MLO rule and other fronts.

Also last night, President Trump, addressed the conservative, pro-life women’s group gala, the Susan B. Anthony List. He was welcomed like a rock star.

The video posted will reflect several things that industry leaders, investors, and strategists should consider. Note that the female population is slightly larger than that of men. Note to the charts that will follow.

First, the president is repeating a theme, that the group also spotlighted – “promises made, and promises kept.”

Next, the pro-life group is pledging a serious voter mobilization effort for the fall.

Note that the NRA – the National Rifle Association – has made a similar pledge to the president for supporting candidates that he and his party will back. The president and Vice President Mike Pence are signaling that they will be very active on the campaign trail in much of the rest of 2018.

Reuters’ latest generic ballot has now tipped the midterm race slightly ahead for GOP candidates over Democratic ones. It is a tidal shift from the end of last year.

According to Vote Run Lead, exit polls reported that 53 percent of voters in the 2012 election were women.

In every presidential election year from 1980 – 2008 women have outnumbered men in voting Democratic and the same is true for men outnumbering women voting Republican,” says Wikipedia.

The U.S. Census Bureau tells the Daily Business News that, “Voting rates have also historically varied according to age, with older Americans generally voting at higher rates than younger Americans (Figure 4). In 2016, this was once again the case, as citizens 65 years and older reported higher turnout (70.9 percent) than 45- to 64-year-olds (66.6 percent), 30- to 44-year-olds (58.7 percent) and 18- to 29-year-olds (46.1 percent). However, in 2016, young voters ages 18 to 29 were the only age group to report increased turnout compared to 2012, with a reported turnout increase of 1.1 percent. All older age groups either reported small yet statistically significant turnout decreases (45- to 64-year-olds and those age 65 and older) or turnout rates not statistically different from 2012 (30- to 44-year-olds).”

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There is every indication that the president’s popularity is rising among blacks, Hispanics, and women. He already had a strong lock on Evangelicals, and white men.

MHProNews cited the New York Times polling, our own yard sign straw poll of a Florida manufactured home community, and a straw poll of industry professionals at an MHI event as part of our pre-election projections in 2016 that Mr. Trump would do well among manufactured housing residents and professionals.

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It was part of our MHProNews broader analysis. These were among the reasons for our projecting that he could pull off an upset on election night.

There is no other known group or media in manufactured housing that made similar projections. We editorially supported the Trump candidacy, as being better for business, workers, investors, and our industry.

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While the Manufactured Housing Institute (MHI) paid for two pro-Clinton speakers in the closing days before the 2016 election, the Kovach family and MHProNews supported Donald J. Trump’s candidacy as the best for the industry, small business, and hundreds of millions of Americans. One of those stories ended up on the president’s campaign website, and hundreds of conservative and pro-Trump websites.

 

Washington Insider Info

While MHProNews doesn’t claim much advantage over anyone else that is willing to dig for data and insights.  We have not yet personally met the president, but we do get several daily media and other briefs from the White House.

There are good reasons to believe that baring the unexpected, the GOP under President Trump’s leadership could pull off yet another surprise in the upcoming midterms.

The president himself is predicting it.

When you listen to the enthusiasm of this crowd from last night, does it remind you of the rallies from his campaign? No ‘entertainment’ was needed.

The theme is “Promises Made, Promises Kept.” It’s a powerful message for a campaign.

Step-by-step, President Donald J. Trump has undone in less than 18 months, much of the 8 year legacy of President Barack Hussein Obama. The Heritage Foundation claims over 60 percent of his agenda is already accomplished.  While that statistic might be debatable, what is certain is that his steady and relentless pace is getting voters to respond.  

Look for our Daily Business News latest U.S. economic report, and how that will play into the manufactured housing industry’s calculations. That surprising snapshot will be published later this morning.  We Provide, You Decide.” © ## (News, analysis, and commentary.)

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